Can Synthetic Data Improve Symbolic Regression Extrapolation Performance?

  • Fitria Wulandari Ramlan*
  • , Colm O’Riordan
  • , Gabriel Kronberger
  • , James McDermott
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingsConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Many machine learning models perform well when making predictions within the training data range, but often struggle when required to extrapolate beyond it. Symbolic regression (SR) using genetic programming (GP) can generate flexible models but is prone to unreliable behaviour in extrapolation. This paper investigates whether adding synthetic data can help improve performance in such cases. We apply Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) to identify regions in the input space where the training data is sparse. Synthetic data is then generated in those regions using a knowledge distillation approach: a teacher model generates predictions on new input points, which are then used to train a student model. We evaluate this method across six benchmark datasets, using neural networks (NN), random forests (RF), and GP both as teacher models (to generate synthetic data) and as student models (trained on the augmented data). Results show that GP models benefit most when trained with synthetic data from NN and RF. The most significant improvements are observed in extrapolation regions, while changes in interpolation areas show only slight changes. We also observe heterogeneous errors, where model performance varies across different regions of the input space. Overall, this approach offers a practical solution for better extrapolation.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationGECCO 2025 Companion - Proceedings of the 2025 Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference Companion
EditorsGabriela Ochoa
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery, Inc
Pages2548-2555
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9798400714641
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 11 Aug 2025
Event2025 Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference Companion, GECCO 2025 Companion - Malaga, Spain
Duration: 14 Jul 202518 Jul 2025

Publication series

NameGECCO 2025 Companion - Proceedings of the 2025 Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference Companion

Conference

Conference2025 Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference Companion, GECCO 2025 Companion
Country/TerritorySpain
CityMalaga
Period14.07.202518.07.2025

Keywords

  • Data Augmentation
  • Extrapolation
  • Genetic Programming
  • Heterogeneous Errors
  • Symbolic Regression
  • Synthetic Data

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