Admissibility troubles for Bayesian direct inference principles.

Christian Wallmann, James Hawthorne

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelBegutachtung

1 Zitat (Scopus)

Abstract

Direct inferences identify certain probabilistic credences or confirmation-function-likelihoods with values of objective chances or relative frequencies. The best known version of a direct inference principle is David Lewis’s Principal Principle. Certain kinds of statements undermine direct inferences. Lewis calls such statements inadmissible. We show that on any Bayesian account of direct inference several kinds of intuitively innocent statements turn out to be inadmissible. This may pose a significant challenge to Bayesian accounts of direct inference. We suggest some ways in which these challenges may be addressed.

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)957-993
Seitenumfang37
FachzeitschriftErkenntnis
Jahrgang85
Ausgabenummer4
DOIs
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 1 Aug 2020

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